References
IPCC. Summary for Policymakers. In Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (eds Field, C. B. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
Olsson, L. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (eds Field, C. B. et al.) 793–832 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
Arent, D. J. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (eds Field, C. B. et al.) 659–708 (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
Tol, R. S. Estimates of the damage costs of climate change. Part 1: benchmark estimates. Environ. Resour. Econ. 21, 47–73 (2002).
Tol, R. S. The economic effects of climate change. J. Econ. Perspect. 23, 29–51 (2009).
Nordhaus, W. Estimates of the social cost of carbon: concepts and results from the DICE-2013R model and alternative approaches. J. Assoc. Environ. Resour. Econ. 1, 273–312 (2014).
Mendelsohn, R., Morrison, W., Schlesinger, M. E. & Andronova, N. G. Country-specific market impacts of climate change. Climatic Change 45, 553–569 (2000).
Hope, C. The marginal impact of CO2 from PAGE2002: an integrated assessment model incorporating the IPCC's five reasons for concern. Integr. Assess. 6, 19–56 (2006).
Stern, N. The Stern Review on the Economics of Climate Change (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2006).
Yohe, G. & Tol, R. S. J. Indicators for social and economic coping capacity—moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity. Glob. Environ. Change 12, 25–40 (2002).
Mendelsohn, R., Dinar, A. & Williams, L. The distributional impact of climate change on rich and poor countries. Environ. Dev. Econ. 11, 159–178 (2006).
Sterner, T. & Persson, U. M. An even sterner review: introducing relative prices into the discounting debate. Rev. Environ. Econ. Policy 2, 61–76 (2008).
Skoufias, E., Rabassa, M., Olivieri, S. & Brahmbhatt, M. The Poverty Impacts of Climate Change (World Bank, 2011).
Dollar, D. & Kraay, A. Growth is good for the poor. J. Econ. Growth 7, 195–225 (2002).
Dollar, D., Kleineberg, T. & Kraay, A. Growth Still is Good for the Poor. Policy Research Working Paper 6568 (World Bank, 2013).
Noack, F., Wunder, S., Angelsen, A. & Boerner, Jan. Responses to Weather and Climate: A Cross-Section Analysis of Rural Incomes Policy Research Working Paper 7478 (World Bank, 2015).
Hallegatte, S. et al. Shock Waves: Managing the Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty (World Bank, 2015).
Hertel, T. W., Burke, M. B. & Lobell, D. B. The poverty implications of climate-induced crop yield changes by 2030. Glob. Environ. Change 20, 577–585 (2010).
Ivanic, M. & Martin, W. Implications of Higher Global Food Prices for Poverty in Low-Income Countries. Policy Research Working Paper 4594 (World Bank, 2008).
Winsemius, H. C. et al. Disaster Risk, Climate Change, and Poverty: Assessing the Global Exposure of Poor People to Floods and Droughts. Policy Research Working Paper 3225 (World Bank, 2015).
Park, J., Hallegatte, S., Bangalore, M. & Sandhoefner, E. Households and Heat Stress: Estimating the Distributional Consequences of Climate Change. Policy Research Working Paper 7479 (World Bank, 2015).
Heltberg, R., Oviedo, A. M. & Talukdar, F. What are the Sources of Risk and How do People Cope? Insights from Households Surveys in 16 Countries (World Bank, 2014).
Sen, B. Drivers of escape and descent: changing household fortunes in rural Bangladesh. World Dev. 31, 513–534 (2003).
Krishna, A. Pathways out of and into poverty in 36 villages of Andhra Pradesh, India. World Dev. 34, 271–288 (2006).
Krishna, A. in Reducing Global Poverty: The Case for Asset Accumulation (ed. Moser, C. O. N.) 62–79 (Brooking Institution Press, 2007).
Moser, C. O. N. (Ed.) Reducing Global Poverty: The Case for Asset Accumulation (Brookings Institution Press, 2007).
Carter, M. R. & Barrett, C. B. The economics of poverty traps and persistent poverty: an asset-based approach. J. Dev. Stud. 42, 178–199 (2006).
Dercon, S. Growth and shocks: evidence from rural Ethiopia. J. Dev. Econ. 74, 309–329 (2004).
Savard, L. Poverty and inequality analysis within a CGE framework: a comparative analysis of the representative agent and microsimulation approaches. Dev. Policy Rev. 23, 313–331 (2005).
Bourguignon, F., Ferreira, F. H. & Lustig, N. The Microeconomics of Income Distribution Dynamics in East Asia and Latin America (World Bank Publications, 2005).
Bussolo, M., De Hoyos, R. & Medvedev, D. Economic growth and income distribution: linking macroeconomic models with household survey data at the global level. Int. J. Microsimulation 3, 92–103 (2010).
Olivieri, S. et al. Simulating Distributional Impacts of Macro-dynamics: Theory and Practical Applications (World Bank, 2014).
KC, S. & Lutz, W. Demographic scenarios by age, sex and education corresponding to the SSP narratives. Popul. Environ. 35, 243–260 (2014).
Rozenberg, J. & Hallegatte, S. The Impacts of Climate Change on Poverty in 2030 and the Potential from Rapid, Inclusive, and Climate-Informed Development. Policy Research Working Paper 7483 (World Bank, 2015).
O'Neill, B. C. et al. A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways. Climatic Change 122, 387–400 (2013).
O'Neill, B. C. et al. The roads ahead: narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21st century. Glob. Environ. Change 42, 169–180 (2015).
Havlík, P. et al. Climate Change Impacts and Mitigation in the Developing World: an Integrated Assessment of Agriculture and Forestry Sectors (IIASA, 2015).
Bouwer, L. M. Projections of future extreme weather losses under changes in climate and exposure. Risk Anal. 33, 915–930 (2013).
Hallegatte, S., Vogt-Schilb, A., Bangalore, M. & Rozenberg, J. Unbreakable: Building the Resilience of the Poor in the Face of Natural Disasters (World Bank, 2016).
Deryugina, T. & Hsiang, S. M. Does the Environment Still Matter? Daily Temperature and Income in the United States (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2014).
Heal, G. & Park, J. Feeling the Heat: Temperature, Physiology and the Wealth of Nations NBER Working Paper No. 19725 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2013).
Hales, S., Kovats, S., Lloyd, S. & Campbell-Lendrum, D. (Eds) Quantitative Risk Assessment of the Effects of Climate Change on Selected Causes of Death, 2030s and 2050s (World Health Organization, 2014).
Kolstad, E. W. & Johansson, K. A. Uncertainties associated with quantifying climate change impacts on human health: a case study for diarrhea. Environ. Health Perspect. 119, 299–305 (2010).
Caminade, C. et al. Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 111, 3286–3291 (2014).
CAS Google Scholar
Hahn, R. W. & Ulph, A. Climate Change and Common Sense: Essays in Honour of Tom Schelling (Oxford Univ. Press, 2012).
Caminade, C. & Jones, A. E. Epidemiology: Malaria in a warmer West Africa. Nat. Clim. Change 6, 984–985 (2016).
Global Monitoring Report 2014/2015: Ending Poverty and Sharing Prosperity (World Bank, 2015).
Dennig, F., Budolfson, M. B., Fleurbaey, M., Siebert, A. & Socolow, R. H. Inequality, climate impacts on the future poor, and carbon prices. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 112, 15827–15832 (2015).
CAS Google Scholar
Moser, C. & Felton, A. In Reducing Global Poverty: The Case for Asset Accumulation (Ed. Moser, C. O. N.) 15–50 (Brookings Institution Press, 2008).
Fay, M. The Urban Poor in Latin America (World Bank, 2005).
Bandyopadhyay, S. & Skoufias, E. Rainfall variability, occupational choice, and welfare in rural Bangladesh. Rev. Econ. Household 13, 589–634 (2013).
Elbers, C., Gunning, J. W. & Kinsey, B. Growth and risk: methodology and micro evidence. World Bank Econ. Rev. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/wber/lhl008 (2007).
Dercon, S. & Christiaensen, L. Consumption risk, technology adoption and poverty traps: evidence from Ethiopia. J. Dev. Econ. 96, 159–173 (2011).
Checkley, W. et al. Multi-country analysis of the effects of diarrhoea on childhood stunting. Int. J. Epidemiol. 37, 816–830 (2008).
Lall, S. V. & Deichmann, U. Density and disasters: economics of urban hazard risk. World Bank Res. Obs. 27, 74–105 (2012).
Field, E. Entitled to work: urban property rights and labor supply in Peru. Q. J. Econ. 122, 1561–1602 (2007).
Tschakert, P. The Role of Inequality in Climate-Poverty Debates. Policy Research Working Paper 7677 (World Bank, 2016).
Patankar, A. & Patwardhan, A. Estimating the uninsured losses due to extreme weather events and implications for informal sector vulnerability: a case study of Mumbai, India. Natural Hazards 80, 285–310 (2014).
Patankar, A. The Exposure, Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity of Households to Floods in Mumbai. Policy Research Working Paper 7481 (World Bank, 2015).
Carter, M. R. & Janzen, S. A. Social Protection in the Face of Climate Change: Targeting Principles and Financing Mechanisms. Policy Research Working Paper 7476 (World Bank, 2015).
Alderman, H., Hoddinott, J. & Kinsey, B. Long term consequences of early childhood malnutrition. Oxford Econ. Pap. 58, 450–474 (2006).
Jensen, R. Agricultural volatility and investments in children. Am. Econ. Rev. 90, 399–404 (2000).
Yamano, T., Alderman, H. & Christiaensen, L. Child growth, shocks, and food aid in rural Ethiopia. Am. J. Agr. Econ. 87, 273–288 (2005).
Dercon, S. & Porter, C. Live Aid revisited: long-term impacts of the 1984 Ethiopian famine on children. J. Eur. Econ. Assoc. 12, 927–948 (2014).
Del Ninno, C., Dorosh, P. A., Smith, L. C. & Roy, D. K. The 1998 Floods in Bangladesh: Disaster Impacts, Household Coping Strategies, and Responses (International Food Policy Research Institute, 2001).
Ajibade, I., McBean, G. & Bezner-Kerr, R. Urban flooding in Lagos, Nigeria: patterns of vulnerability and resilience among women. Glob. Environ. Change 23, 1714–1725 (2013).
Hentschel, J., Lanjouw, J. O., Lanjouw, P. & Poggi, J. Combining census and survey data to trace the spatial dimensions of poverty: a case study of Ecuador. World Bank Econ. Rev. 14, 147–165 (2000).
Smith, J. B. et al. Assessing dangerous climate change through an update of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) “reasons for concern”. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 106, 4133–4137 (2009).
CAS Google Scholar
Del Ninno, C., Dorosh, P. A. & Smith, L. C. Public policy, markets and household coping strategies in Bangladesh: avoiding a food security crisis following the 1998 floods. World Dev. 31, 1221–1238 (2003).
Ahmed, S. A., Diffenbaugh, N. S. & Hertel, T. W. Climate volatility deepens poverty vulnerability in developing countries. Environ. Res. Lett. 4, 034004 (2009).
O'Brien, K. L. & Leichenko, R. M. Double exposure: assessing the impacts of climate change within the context of economic globalization. Glob. Environ. Change 10, 221–232 (2000).
